FINANCIAL FITNESS

For the health of your financial portfolio I recommend three things. Don’t listen to expert predictions; experts can’t forecast the future any better than you. Next, fees paid to financial advisors/managers reduce your return. Make sure you are getting...

AMATEURISH ADVICE

Today, 49% of firms in the S&P 500 are rated as “buy”, 45% are rated as “hold” and just 6% are rated as “sell”. This is a travesty! This past year, despite being a good one for equities, 30% of S&P 500 companies yielded...

PARENTAL PALACE

In 2015, the percentage of those 18 to 34 living with their parents was 39.5%, the highest level since 1940 when it was 40.9%. Of course, 1940 was one year removed from the end of the Depression. The rate then fell to an all-time low of 24.1% in 1960 and has slowly...

STRATEGIC STIMULUS

With unemployment very low at 4.7%, substantial fiscal stimulus will simply drive up wages and inflation, forcing the Fed to increase rates prematurely. Thus, Trump and Congress should focus on expanding the economy’s productive capacity, not increasing...

OILY OUTCOME

Last week the number of oil rigs operating in the US hit 566, up 15 from the prior week and an additional 29 from the week before that. The increase of 29 rigs was the largest increase in nearly four years. The oil-rig count is now at its highest level since 11/15. At...

MARKET RECAP AND WHERE WE’RE HEADED

Yesterday the 10 yr note finally made a nice move lower taking MBS prices up 33 bps and the yield on the 10 down 5 bps to 2.45% after another attempt to push the yield over 2.50% on Wednesday failed. On Wednesday, economic reports, particularly the Jan CPI increased...